Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf01f…e8fb
sports · 274 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,015 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,234 · open −$219
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$155
Realized+$1,234
Unrealized−$219
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses75 / 195
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$724
Open positions5
Markets (closed)270 / 274
History coverage24d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day135.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 270 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,820
7 days−$1,573
14 days+$1,573
30 days+$1,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Overtake 23¢ 8¢ $300 $110 −$189 (-63%)
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Ignite 28¢ 56¢ $14 $28 +$14 (+100%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Kayo Nishimura 17¢ 32¢ $8 $16 +$7 (+85%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs NA, wed win 22¢ 1¢ $43 $1 −$42 (-97%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Katarina Kujovic Ana Giraldi Requena 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 13 $226 −$226 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $698 +$2,902 +416%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Stefano D'agostino vs Carlos Giraldi Jun 12 $312 −$312 -100%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $12 +$38 +323%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
ITF Monastir: Eva Lopez vs Nikola Daubnerova Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
ITF Brasilia: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Felipe Vazquez Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Oscar Brown Jun 12 $294 −$294 -100%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Sofia Rocchetti Jun 11 $618 −$618 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Gaeul Jang vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 11 $105 −$105 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Sae Noguchi vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 11 $173 +$677 +393%
ITF Monastir: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Filippo Francesco Garbero Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
ITF Madrid: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Sofia Montesinos Jun 11 $118 −$118 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Elina Nepliy vs Diae El Jardi Jun 11 $146 −$146 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Vaidehi Chaudhari vs Maria Garcia Cid Jun 11 $137 −$137 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Funa Kozaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 11 $145 −$145 -100%
ITF Wuning: Haruka Kaji vs Ya Yi Yang Jun 11 $408 +$1,342 +329%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Antoni Fabre vs Nicolas Garcia Longo Jun 10 $62 +$188 +301%
ITF Tokyo: Jangjun Kim vs Yua Taka Jun 10 $214 −$214 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Aishi Das vs Nana Kawagishi Jun 10 $196 −$196 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Eugenia Zozaya Menendez vs Mariana Isabel Higu Jun 10 $41 −$41 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Jia Hu vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Jun 10 $101 −$101 -100%
ITF Zagreb: Briana Szabo vs Rositsa Dencheva Jun 10 $333 −$333 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Cherry Kim vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 10 $484 −$484 -100%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro Leag Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 09 $338 −$338 -100%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs MGLBROS (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $552 −$552 -100%
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
ITF Luan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hanyi Liu Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
ITF Bistrita: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Horia Haita Jun 08 $1,153 −$1,153 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dimitris Azoidis Jun 07 $2 +$6 +307%
ITF Focsani: Daria Yesypchuk vs Maria Sara Popa Jun 07 $13 −$13 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Yaojie Zeng Jun 07 $35 −$35 -100%
ITF Focsani: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Sophie Greiner Jun 07 $20 +$130 +667%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority (BO3) - European Pro Jun 07 $52 −$52 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Marie Villet vs Ann Akasha Ceuca Jun 07 $89 −$89 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Anastasia Kulikova vs Yeon Woo Ku Jun 07 $896 −$896 -100%
ITF Luan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yecong Mo Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Reina Goto Jun 06 $21 +$129 +631%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunic Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $60 −$60 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Marta Soriano Santiago Jun 05 $484 +$1,666 +344%
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Jun 05 $22 −$22 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Yufei Ren Jun 05 $70 −$70 -100%
ITF Luan: Yaojie Zeng vs Tsung Hao Huang Jun 05 $11 +$39 +352%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,024
other 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 17¢ $9 7m
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 24¢ $12 30m
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 24¢ $12 36m
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope BUY Ignite 28¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 22¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 22¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 22¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 24¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 24¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 24¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Overtake 23¢ $12 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 10¢ $5 12h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 10¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +1.6% -8.1% 20% 20% -26.5%
≤30d 270 -9.0% -17.7% 28% 26% -7.2%
≤90d 270 -9.0% -17.7% 28% 26% -7.2%
all 270 -9.0% -17.7% 28% 26% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 26% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 20% -16.0%
15% -32.8% 13% -24.2%
20% -39.4% 13% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $155.37 · official $155.38 (match) · 3500 history records