Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf01b…df46
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses10 / 11
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)21 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day133.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 77¢ 88¢ $12 $13 +$2 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $22 $0 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$18 +511%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% −$15
sports 39% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 100¢ $0 0m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 96¢ $0 1m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 97¢ $0 1m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 95¢ $4 1m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $2 1m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 84¢ $0 3m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 66¢ $0 6m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 65¢ $0 6m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 69¢ $0 7m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $0 9m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $0 9m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $0 13m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 87¢ $0 13m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $0 13m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $0 13m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $0 14m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $0 14m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 81¢ $0 14m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 15m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 15m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $2 33m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 77¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +16.5% +5.4% 48% 29% -7.9%
≤30d 21 +16.5% +5.4% 48% 29% -7.9%
≤90d 21 +16.5% +5.4% 48% 29% -7.9%
all 21 +16.5% +5.4% 48% 29% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.4% 29% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -4.7% 14% -16.7%
15% -13.9% 5% -24.8%
20% -22.3% 5% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.20 · official $13.20 (match) · 136 history records