Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf013…dfa5
crypto · 1599 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$136 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$136 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$136
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1195 / 406
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1601 / 1599
History coverage45d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day72.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1601 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$34
14 days−$47
30 days−$233
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 262 -3.5% -12.7% 72% 61% -12.0%
≤30d 373 -12.4% -20.7% 65% 56% -21.4%
≤90d 1601 -2.1% -11.4% 75% 50% -10.7%
all 1601 -2.1% -11.4% 75% 50% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 50% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 27% -19.3%
15% -27.6% 16% -27.1%
20% -34.7% 3% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records