trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +10.5% | -0.0% | 75% | 75% | -31.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +10.5% | -0.0% | 75% | 75% | -31.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -5.3% | -14.4% | 67% | 67% | -31.7% |
| all | 23 | -70.7% | -73.5% | 22% | 17% | -95.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -73.5% | 17% | -95.6% |
| 10% | -76.0% | 17% | -96.0% |
| 15% | -78.3% | 13% | -96.4% |
| 20% | -80.5% | 4% | -96.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $220 | $165 | −$55 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $3 | +$2 | +70% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +36% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21? | Jan 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will PSV win on 2025-12-09? | Dec 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will PSV win on 2025-11-04? | Nov 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | Oct 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16? | Oct 15 | $195 | −$195 | -100% |
| Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runof | May 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League? | May 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Bengals vs. Giants | Nov 04 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Browns vs. Cowboys | Oct 08 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Solana above $150 on August 16? | Sep 08 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31? | Sep 08 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Biden drops out before the Democratic convention? | Aug 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros? | Aug 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? | Aug 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump mention $boden before May? | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Oppenheimer win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay? | Mar 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |