trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 12% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 12% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 41% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -25.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -32.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -38.9% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $44 | $44 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 08 | $25 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | Dec 10 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 26 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 19 | $11 | +$1 | +4% |
| Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 26 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on March 25? | Mar 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Mar 21 | $14 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-04? | Mar 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |