trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 57% | 57% | +41.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 42% | 42% | +15.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 42% | 42% | +15.4% |
| all | 13 | -20.1% | -27.7% | 38% | 38% | +9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.7% | 38% | +9.2% |
| 10% | -34.6% | 38% | -1.2% |
| 15% | -40.9% | 38% | -10.8% |
| 20% | -46.7% | 31% | -19.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $55 | $44 | −$11 (-20%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $45 | $39 | −$6 (-13%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $32 | $29 | −$3 (-9%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 42¢ | 34¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-18%) |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 5¢ | 1¢ | $70 | $14 | −$56 (-80%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-20%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 21¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 12¢ | $15 | $9 | −$6 (-40%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-19%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $3 | −$7 (-69%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $33 | +$12 | +38% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ shots | Jun 26 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$8 | +80% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $31 | +$89 | +291% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $35 | +$25 | +70% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$12 | +60% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$2 | -13% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | Nov 16 | $230 | −$228 | -99% |