Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xefd1…c520
crypto · 872 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,233 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,233 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,233
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses491 / 381
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$638
Open positions0
Markets (closed)872 / 872
History coverage34d
Avg bet$154
Trades / day94.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 872 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$522
7 days−$8,010
14 days−$3,745
30 days−$2,593
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Rinky Hijikata 31¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth James Duckworth 37¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $176 −$170 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $341 +$19 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$102 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $310 +$75 +24%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Jun 12 $162 −$18 -11%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 12 $172 −$10 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $563 +$154 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $649 +$69 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $279 +$71 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $246 +$134 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $611 +$50 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$63 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$100 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$79 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $247 +$39 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$46 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $351 −$140 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $312 −$68 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$37 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $408 −$15 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$185 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $145 −$96 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $330 +$36 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $307 +$24 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $164 +$45 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$118 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $278 +$82 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$42 -81%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $204 +$285 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $197 −$190 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $73 +$19 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$14 +27%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $202 +$196 +97%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $43 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $165 +$31 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $83 +$51 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $343 −$330 -96%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $102 +$120 +117%
Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $125 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $361 −$351 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$6,594
sports 26% +$3,215
other 1% +$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $114 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $117 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -22.3% -29.7% 48% 40% -24.8%
≤30d 764 -6.7% -15.6% 56% 48% -11.4%
≤90d 872 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 49% -11.7%
all 872 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 49% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 49% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 38% -20.2%
15% -30.2% 28% -27.9%
20% -37.0% 20% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records