trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 26% | 26% | -24.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 26% | 26% | -24.9% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 26% | 26% | -24.9% |
| all | 24 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 25% | 25% | -27.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.3% | 25% | -27.6% |
| 10% | -38.8% | 25% | -34.6% |
| 15% | -44.7% | 25% | -40.9% |
| 20% | -50.1% | 21% | -46.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+22%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -78% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +226% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +250% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -62% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -74% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +73% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +105% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +130% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Jan 22 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |