trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +6.5% | -3.6% | 44% | 39% | +7.5% |
| all | 18 | +6.5% | -3.6% | 44% | 39% | +7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.6% | 39% | +7.5% |
| 10% | -12.9% | 39% | -2.8% |
| 15% | -21.3% | 28% | -12.2% |
| 20% | -29.0% | 22% | -20.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 87¢ | $196 | $202 | +$6 (+3%) |
| Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match? | Yes | 82¢ | 76¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-7%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $45 | $45 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 28¢ | 50¢ | $18 | $32 | +$14 (+77%) |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 61¢ | 54¢ | $33 | $29 | −$4 (-12%) |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 27¢ | $16 | $11 | −$5 (-30%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | No | 49¢ | 44¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 24¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-44%) |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | +$4 | +423% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Apr 06 | $86 | +$31 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Apr 06 | $110 | +$37 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Apr 06 | $77 | +$19 | +25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Apr 06 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Apr 06 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Apr 06 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Apr 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Apr 06 | $1 | +$1 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Apr 06 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Apr 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 05 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Apr 05 | $4 | +$8 | +193% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | +$3 | +329% |