Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:07:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EF 0xefa7…3d33 crypto 470 markets active 9h ago coverage 106d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$33 (-6%) realized −$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR68%break-even
Win rate82%387W / 83L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day4.4pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$1
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$38
other 4% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -3.5% -12.7% 84% 68% -12.5%
≤30d 374 -2.2% -11.5% 86% 71% -11.4%
≤90d 469 -4.3% -13.4% 83% 68% -15.4%
all 470 -4.5% -13.6% 82% 68% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 68% -16.1%
10% -21.8% 7% -24.1%
15% -29.4% 2% -31.5%
20% -36.3% 1% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

106d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses387 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)470 / 470
History coverage106d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 470 Trades
no open positions (65 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 880 history records