Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:19:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef8a…0feb
crypto · 382 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$318 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$365 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses237 / 145
Open positions0
Markets (closed)382 / 382
History coverage77d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$3
14 days−$13
30 days−$197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$70
other 5% −$183
politics 4% −$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +0.8% -8.8% 61% 37% -10.9%
≤30d 186 -9.7% -18.3% 58% 41% -46.3%
≤90d 382 -9.8% -18.4% 62% 46% -17.5%
all 382 -9.8% -18.4% 62% 46% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 46% -17.5%
10% -26.2% 27% -25.4%
15% -33.3% 12% -32.6%
20% -39.9% 6% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1403 history records