trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -28.4% | -35.2% | 33% | 33% | -60.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -28.4% | -35.2% | 33% | 33% | -60.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -28.4% | -35.2% | 33% | 33% | -60.7% |
| all | 26 | -27.3% | -34.2% | 31% | 31% | -58.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.2% | 31% | -58.9% |
| 10% | -40.5% | 31% | -62.8% |
| 15% | -46.3% | 19% | -66.4% |
| 20% | -51.6% | 15% | -69.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $203 | +$55 | +27% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $39 | +$49 | +127% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 | Jun 20 | $202 | +$116 | +58% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 20 | $3,214 | −$2,230 | -69% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Jun 19 | $26 | +$11 | +44% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $205 | −$152 | -74% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $62 | −$60 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $243 | −$156 | -64% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $132 | +$149 | +113% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $133 | −$101 | -76% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $113 | −$110 | -97% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$134 | +262% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $1,423 | −$1,038 | -73% |
| Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025? | Aug 02 | $6 | −$4 | -71% |
| Will Drake release an album by August 31? | Aug 02 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? | Aug 02 | $110 | −$9 | -8% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? | Aug 02 | $46 | +$11 | +24% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Aug 02 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Aug 02 | $25 | −$6 | -23% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5? | Aug 02 | $30 | −$13 | -42% |
| Blue Jays vs. Orioles | Jul 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |