Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef2b…70ef
sports · 293 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$195 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open −$109
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$86
Unrealized−$109
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses147 / 142
Est. fees paid−$126
Open positions4
Markets (closed)289 / 293
History coverage45d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,171
7 days−$2,650
14 days−$1,581
30 days−$600
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 52¢ 40¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-23%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 69¢ 30¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-57%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 64¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Alan Magadan vs Hyeon Chung Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 13 $233 −$114 -49%
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 13 $202 −$202 -100%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 13 $239 −$239 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Team Secret vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Jun 13 $302 −$302 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$15 +143%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $42 +$21 +50%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $61 +$23 +38%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $10 +$9 +93%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $20 +$15 +74%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $60 +$20 +33%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $20 +$8 +41%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$28 +55%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $5 +$13 +248%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $36 −$21 -58%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $20 +$14 +67%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $40 +$16 +40%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $40 +$26 +64%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $152 +$111 +73%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $101 +$89 +88%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $101 +$47 +47%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 08 $101 −$100 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $152 +$83 +54%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5) Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5) Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoff Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoff Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pla Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$333
other 4% +$158
crypto 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 52¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 69¢ $10 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $10 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $10 4h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $10 5h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 99¢ $25 6h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 40¢ $10 6h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $20 7h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $30 7h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL RUSTEC 100¢ $52 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $84 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $20 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $20 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 11¢ $2 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $20 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 32¢ $5 11h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 65¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL RUSTEC 58¢ $10 12h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) SELL Gen.G 100¢ $20 13h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 38¢ $5 14h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $10 14h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 59¢ $40 14h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 51¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ SELL OLDBOYS- 100¢ $35 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $81 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $10 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $27 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 -69.4% -72.3% 18% 17% -47.4%
≤30d 245 -20.8% -28.3% 45% 44% -14.5%
≤90d 289 -8.9% -17.6% 51% 51% -10.2%
all 289 -8.9% -17.6% 51% 51% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 51% -10.2%
10% -25.4% 50% -18.8%
15% -32.6% 45% -26.6%
20% -39.2% 36% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.89 · official $15.89 (match) · 747 history records