Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:11:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef1b…764f
crypto · 437 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$818 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$912 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$912
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses291 / 146
Open positions0
Markets (closed)437 / 437
History coverage139d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$245
7 days−$307
14 days−$307
30 days−$307
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$11 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $69 −$13 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $77 +$25 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$5 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +158%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$3 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $92 +$13 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $117 −$5 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $33 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$13 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $202 −$7 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$20 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$11 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$6 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$2 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $69 −$9 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$10 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$19 +49%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $64 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $99 −$24 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$28 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $141 −$96 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$38 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$912
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 +0.0% -9.5% 61% 42% -13.9%
≤30d 208 +0.0% -9.5% 61% 42% -13.9%
≤90d 215 -0.8% -10.2% 59% 41% -14.2%
all 437 +0.9% -8.7% 67% 55% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 55% -13.0%
10% -17.5% 23% -21.4%
15% -25.4% 13% -29.0%
20% -32.7% 8% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.00 (match) · 1843 history records