Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:24:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef17…96bf
crypto · 582 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,807 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,001 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,001
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses482 / 100
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)582 / 582
History coverage10d
Avg bet$220
Trades / day262.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 582 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94
7 days+$39
14 days−$3,001
30 days−$3,001
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $129 +$22 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $92 +$17 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $249 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $151 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $121 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $69 +$18 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $120 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $91 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $317 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $120 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $181 +$14 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $128 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $182 +$37 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $333 −$2 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $164 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $185 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $180 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $306 −$27 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $249 −$36 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$36 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $476 +$242 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $744 −$90 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $185 +$6 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $64 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$18 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $270 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $81 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$14 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $129 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $573 −$409 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $250 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $99 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$12 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$10 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$18 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $202 +$8 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,845
other 0% −$155
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $30 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $30 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $33 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $31 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $61 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $61 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $61 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $31 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $60 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $60 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $60 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $60 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $30 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $30 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $96 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 +5.5% -4.5% 84% 30% -9.4%
≤30d 582 +2.1% -7.6% 83% 23% -11.6%
≤90d 582 +2.1% -7.6% 83% 23% -11.6%
all 582 +2.1% -7.6% 83% 23% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 23% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 7% -20.1%
15% -24.5% 3% -27.8%
20% -31.9% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records