Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:21:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef0b…951a
other · 2492 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$346 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$347 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$347
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses984 / 1548
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions31
Markets (closed)2532 / 2492
History coverage134d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 31 History 2532 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$242
7 days−$208
14 days−$183
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 44¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? Yes 39¢ 47¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 71¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Total Corners Odd or Even? Odd 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Total Corners Odd or Even? Even 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Parma win on 2025-10-25? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Getafe vs. Real Madrid end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-09? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-01? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nigeria vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-01-28? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chile win on 2025-11-15? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CA San Martín de San Juan vs. CA Independiente end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Granada CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-12-11? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-31? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Inter win on 2025-10-25? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AFC Ajax vs. AZ end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Benin vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Tigre end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% −$142
sports 46% +$36
world 1% +$14
crypto 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Total Corners Odd or Even? BUY Even 50¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 76¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 65¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Total Corners Odd or Even? BUY Even 51¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 66¢ $1 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 71¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 64¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First Corner BUY Switzerland 73¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Total Corners Odd or Even? BUY Odd 51¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner BUY Paraguay 47¢ $1 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: Total Corners Odd or Even? BUY Odd 58¢ $1 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 52¢ $1 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $1 25h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 -56.2% -60.3% 25% 25% -65.1%
≤30d 336 -29.1% -35.9% 34% 34% -38.7%
≤90d 1092 -12.4% -20.7% 37% 37% -18.5%
all 2532 -5.8% -14.8% 39% 39% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 39% -15.0%
10% -22.9% 38% -23.2%
15% -30.4% 37% -30.6%
20% -37.2% 35% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.39 · official $46.39 (match) · 3500 history records