Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:10:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xeeff…e5ea
crypto · 12 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)10 / 12
History coverage24d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Jun 11 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$18
sports 21% −$2
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 1h
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 25h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 3d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 3d
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? SELL No 50¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 24d
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? BUY No 52¢ $1 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-32.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -21.1% -28.6% 38% 25% -49.0%
≤30d 10 -25.5% -32.6% 40% 30% -52.5%
≤90d 10 -25.5% -32.6% 40% 30% -52.5%
all 10 -25.5% -32.6% 40% 30% -52.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.6% 30% -52.5%
10% -39.0% 20% -57.1%
15% -44.9% 20% -61.2%
20% -50.3% 20% -65.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.18 · official $15.18 (match) · 24 history records