Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T15:40:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
EE 0xeef3…0547 sports 1204 markets active 0h ago coverage 117d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 117d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3,763 (+2%) realized +$3,763 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate53%640W / 564L
Whale WR47%big bets
Drawdown94%max
Avg bet$154per market
Trades / day21.0pace
Fees−$1,699est.
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,468
7 days−$12,661
14 days−$21,631
30 days−$15,774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 64% +$4,673
other 22% −$1,572
crypto 10% −$830
finance 3% +$496
world 1% −$608
tech 1% −$209
politics 0% +$332
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -45.0% -50.2% 30% 28% -62.1%
≤30d 275 -17.1% -25.0% 43% 40% -33.1%
≤90d 846 +2.3% -7.4% 52% 51% -7.9%
all 1204 +2.7% -7.1% 53% 51% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 51% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 49% -17.2%
15% -24.1% 46% -25.2%
20% -31.6% 42% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 47% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +8% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$142 vs −$157 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

117d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,763
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses640 / 564
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$1,699
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1204 / 1204
History coverage117d ⚠
Avg bet$154
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1204 Trades
no open positions (121 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $63 +$54 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $103 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $233 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $210 +$427 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 27 $208 +$267 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 27 $77 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$9 +18%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17? Jun 27 $265 −$265 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 27 $173 −$173 -100%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 Jun 27 $240 −$240 -100%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 27 $213 −$213 -100%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 27 $27 −$27 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-06? Jun 27 $229 −$229 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-14.5) Jun 27 $250 −$250 -100%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 27 $215 −$215 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 27 $230 −$230 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $199 −$199 -100%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16? Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 27 $304 −$304 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 27 $234 −$234 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $213 −$213 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 27 $142 −$142 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 27 $194 −$194 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $304 −$304 -100%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 27 $258 −$258 -100%
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 27 $210 −$210 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 27 $357 −$357 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks Jun 27 $271 −$271 -100%
Spread: Belgium (-2.5) Jun 27 $334 −$334 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 27 $322 −$322 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 27 $300 −$300 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 27 $214 −$214 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 27 $305 −$305 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 27 $302 −$302 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-7.5) Jun 27 $305 −$305 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $189 −$189 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 27 $413 −$413 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $30 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $18 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $18 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $244 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $105 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records