Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T02:14:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeeee…56f6 sports 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$75 (-44%) realized −$15 · open −$60
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate25%1W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day10.0pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-32.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -25.2% -32.4% 25% 25% -24.1%
≤30d 4 -25.2% -32.4% 25% 25% -24.1%
≤90d 4 -25.2% -32.4% 25% 25% -24.1%
all 4 -25.2% -32.4% 25% 25% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.4% 25% -24.1%
10% -38.8% 25% -31.3%
15% -44.7% 0% -38.0%
20% -50.2% 0% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.26 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$60
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 4 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main) Lee 58¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mets de Guaynabo vs. Gigantes de Carolina Jun 29 $40 −$9 -22%
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 28 $20 +$5 +26%
Zuffa Boxing 8: Diaz vs. Teran (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Zuffa Boxing 8: Jr vs. Benito (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 28 $20 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main) BUY Lee 58¢ $61 1h
Mets de Guaynabo vs. Gigantes de Carolina SELL Gigantes de Carolina 61¢ $31 2h
Mets de Guaynabo vs. Gigantes de Carolina BUY Gigantes de Carolina 77¢ $40 2h
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main) SELL Sandoval 33¢ $13 2h
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries SELL Golden State Valkyries 72¢ $25 2h
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main) BUY Sandoval 49¢ $20 2h
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries BUY Golden State Valkyries 56¢ $20 2h
Zuffa Boxing 8: Diaz vs. Teran (Bantamweight, Prelims) BUY Diaz 94¢ $10 2h
Zuffa Boxing 8: Jr vs. Benito (Lightweight, Prelims) SELL Jr 80¢ $19 3h
Zuffa Boxing 8: Jr vs. Benito (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Jr 83¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 10 history records