Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:39:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeeed…485d crypto 147 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$38 (-3%) realized −$36 · open −$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate73%107W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day65.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -5.3% -14.3% 73% 27% -13.1%
≤30d 146 -5.3% -14.3% 73% 27% -13.1%
≤90d 146 -5.3% -14.3% 73% 27% -13.1%
all 146 -5.3% -14.3% 73% 27% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 27% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 18% -21.4%
15% -30.0% 14% -29.0%
20% -36.8% 10% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$3
Realized−$36
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses107 / 39
Open positions1
Markets (closed)146 / 147
History coverage3d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day65.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 146 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 88¢ 60¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-31%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 29 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.44 · official $3.44 (match) · 273 history records