Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xeeec…21ec
sports · 144 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$46
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses121 / 16
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions7
Markets (closed)137 / 144
History coverage13d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 7 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$45
14 days−$55
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 72¢ 99¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+36%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 92¢ 96¢ $14 $14 +$1 (+4%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jangjun Kim 76¢ 66¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-13%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 18¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Emile Hudd 95¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 26¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 95¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
ITF Merzig: Tamila Gadamauri vs Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide 90¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 41¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Foggia: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Tatiana Prozorova 95¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 19¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Birmingham (Doubles): Chandrasekar/Yuzuki vs Hidalgo/Trhac Hidalgo/Trhac 35¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Aliaksandra Sasnovich 90¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Vit Kopriva 96¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 95¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
ITF Nice: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Jenny Lim Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
ITF Messina: Gabriele Piraino vs Marcel Zielinski Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs John Echeverria Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 12 $13 +$2 +12%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
ITF Merzig: Tamila Gadamauri vs Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Cuiaba: Catarina Melleiro vs Gabriella Price Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
ITF Brasilia: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Felipe Vazquez Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $14 +$1 +6%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $14 +$1 +6%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $13 +$2 +13%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $14 +$1 +6%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $15 +$1 +5%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $15 +$1 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $14 +$1 +7%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $15 +$1 +6%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $14 +$1 +6%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $14 +$1 +7%
Lyon: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Clement Tabur Jun 09 $14 +$1 +5%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Ognjen Milic Jun 09 $14 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$54
other 1% +$1
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 76¢ $8 14m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 95¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $7 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $4 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 94¢ $14 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 97¢ $15 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 96¢ $14 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 96¢ $14 2h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 92¢ $14 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 94¢ $14 2h
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Emile Hudd 95¢ $14 9h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 94¢ $14 9h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 83¢ $13 10h
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco BUY Fausto Tabacco 96¢ $15 10h
ITF Nice: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Jenny Lim BUY Jenny Lim 96¢ $14 10h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 94¢ $14 10h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 93¢ $14 10h
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs John Echeverria BUY Pablo Martinez Gomez 96¢ $14 11h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 94¢ $14 11h
ITF Messina: Gabriele Piraino vs Marcel Zielinski BUY Gabriele Piraino 94¢ $14 11h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 89¢ $13 11h
ITF Merzig: Tamila Gadamauri vs Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide BUY Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide 90¢ $15 11h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 97¢ $15 12h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 96¢ $15 12h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 95¢ $14 12h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 94¢ $15 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -7.2% -16.1% 87% 5% -13.3%
≤30d 137 -4.6% -13.7% 88% 9% -12.2%
≤90d 137 -4.6% -13.7% 88% 9% -12.2%
all 137 -4.6% -13.7% 88% 9% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 9% -12.2%
10% -21.9% 2% -20.6%
15% -29.5% 1% -28.3%
20% -36.4% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.83 · official $45.83 (match) · 284 history records