trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 29 | -26.8% | -33.7% | 28% | 28% | -23.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.7% | 28% | -23.7% |
| 10% | -40.1% | 28% | -31.0% |
| 15% | -45.9% | 28% | -37.7% |
| 20% | -51.2% | 28% | -43.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $400 | $400 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $250 | $250 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $200 | $200 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| Utah vs. Ducks | Feb 15 | $6 | +$7 | +104% |
| Panthers vs. Kings | Nov 06 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Grizzlies | Nov 04 | $8 | +$10 | +113% |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs | Oct 16 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Ducks | Oct 16 | $9 | +$7 | +75% |
| Tigers vs. Red Sox | Sep 26 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Rangers | Sep 26 | $5 | +$7 | +138% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Sep 25 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| Chargers vs. Raiders | Sep 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Sep 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| TCU vs. North Carolina | Sep 11 | $4 | +$2 | +61% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Blue Jays | Aug 14 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Marlins vs. Guardians | Aug 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Tigers | Aug 12 | $3 | +$4 | +127% |
| Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | Aug 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Reds | Aug 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 09 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Everton wins the Premier League? | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Feb 10 | $153 | −$153 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Feb 07 | $103 | +$112 | +108% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Feb 06 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Nov 26 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |