Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xeee6…a90d
other · 43 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses16 / 26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)42 / 43
History coverage444d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 1 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 61¢ 66¢ $44 $49 +$4 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 14 $97 +$4 +4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 14 $42 +$2 +4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 13 $46 $0 -0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 10 $43 $0 +0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 17 $1 $0 -3%
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? Dec 11 $11 $0 +2%
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? Jun 27 $27 −$4 -15%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 24 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 22 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? Jun 21 $5 $0 +0%
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election Jun 19 $5 $0 -0%
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Jun 13 $5 −$2 -33%
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? Jun 11 $32 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? Jun 11 $32 $0 -0%
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Jun 10 $31 $0 +1%
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans? Jun 08 $33 $0 +1%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? May 13 $32 $0 -1%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? May 13 $2 $0 -16%
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16? May 12 $34 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 9–16? May 11 $34 $0 -0%
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? May 11 $33 $0 +0%
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or May 11 $31 $0 -0%
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? May 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th May 10 $2 $0 +0%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? May 10 $34 $0 +0%
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? May 09 $33 $0 -0%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? May 09 $34 $0 +0%
Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referen May 09 $33 $0 +0%
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 May 08 $34 $0 +0%
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League? May 08 $6 −$1 -10%
Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope? May 08 $29 $0 +0%
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? Apr 25 $2 $0 +2%
Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election? Apr 18 $11 $0 +0%
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Apr 17 $11 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? Apr 17 $11 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 16 $11 $0 +0%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? Apr 16 $12 $0 +0%
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Mar 30 $14 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$2
world 35% +$10
politics 11% −$6
crypto 3% $0
tech 1% $0
sports 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 62¢ $22 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 60¢ $23 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 8¢ $14 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 6¢ $10 6h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 57¢ $43 12h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 14h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 14h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $36 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 22¢ $20 19h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 26¢ $23 21h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 59¢ $18 25h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 59¢ $28 25h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 59¢ $46 27h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $34 30h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $8 30h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $41 34h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $50 35h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $50 36h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 94¢ $37 46h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 94¢ $9 46h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 93¢ $2 2d
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 93¢ $44 2d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $43 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $43 4d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 90¢ $0 178d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $1 325d
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? SELL No 83¢ $23 351d
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? SELL No 86¢ $4 355d
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? BUY No 96¢ $5 357d
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $5 357d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +1.6% -8.1% 60% 0% -7.7%
≤30d 5 +1.6% -8.1% 60% 0% -7.7%
≤90d 5 +1.6% -8.1% 60% 0% -7.7%
all 42 -2.8% -12.0% 38% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 0% -9.7%
10% -20.5% 0% -18.4%
15% -28.1% 0% -26.3%
20% -35.2% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.55 · official $48.55 (match) · 132 history records