Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T14:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
EE 0xeeda…623f other 4 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$191 (+43%) realized +$192 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +70% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +48% what you keep after slip
Net edge+48%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%3W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$110per market
Trades / day7.0pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$144now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+54.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +70.4% +54.2% 100% 100% +48.4%
≤30d 3 +70.4% +54.2% 100% 100% +48.4%
≤90d 3 +70.4% +54.2% 100% 100% +48.4%
all 3 +70.4% +54.2% 100% 100% +48.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +54.2% 100% +48.4%
10% +39.4% 100% +34.2%
15% +25.9% 100% +21.2%
20% +13.6% 33% +9.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 42% · top 2 76% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +64% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +70% · $-wt +64% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$62 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$144
Realized+$192
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 3 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $145 $144 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $125 +$62 +50%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $69 +$79 +115%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $99 +$46 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 66¢ $80 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 66¢ $67 2h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 66¢ $48 35h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 100¢ $148 35h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 66¢ $77 35h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 30¢ $23 37h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 62¢ $17 39h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 62¢ $29 39h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 88¢ $145 39h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 40h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 45¢ $28 40h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 69¢ $70 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $144.10 · official $144.10 (match) · 13 history records