trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 67% | 0% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 53% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 15 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 53% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.0% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -27.7% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -34.6% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 95¢ | $260 | $265 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group | May 29 | $457 | +$33 | +7% |
| Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31? | May 27 | $451 | −$19 | -4% |
| Spread: Nice (-2.5) | May 27 | $462 | +$18 | +4% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | May 26 | $445 | +$2 | +0% |
| Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5) | May 26 | $441 | +$19 | +4% |
| Will Russia enter Borova by May 31? | May 25 | $442 | −$5 | -1% |
| Spread: HUS Agadir (-2.5) | May 08 | $471 | +$29 | +6% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 07 | $471 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Levante UD (-2.5) | May 07 | $460 | +$10 | +2% |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? | May 02 | $470 | −$4 | -1% |
| Spread: Mantova 1911 (-1.5) | May 02 | $447 | +$23 | +5% |
| Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | May 01 | $448 | −$2 | -0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Apr 25 | $300 | +$10 | +3% |
| Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5) | Mar 31 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B | Mar 25 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |