Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T21:49:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EE 0xeecc…518a crypto 65 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$39 (-2%) realized −$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate60%38W / 25L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day68.6pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$39now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 53% −$1
sports 29% −$5
other 16% −$52
weather 1% −$18
finance 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -6.7% -15.6% 60% 40% -13.5%
≤30d 63 -6.7% -15.6% 60% 40% -13.5%
≤90d 63 -6.7% -15.6% 60% 40% -13.5%
all 63 -6.7% -15.6% 60% 40% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 40% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 16% -21.8%
15% -31.0% 2% -29.3%
20% -37.8% 0% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$10 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$39
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses38 / 25
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)63 / 65
History coverage2d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day68.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 63 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 0 Haiti? No 88¢ 88¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? No 92¢ 92¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$16 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 24 $19 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 24 $23 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 24 $67 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 24 $28 −$15 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 24 $18 −$8 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 24 $23 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 24 $18 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 24 $23 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 24 $164 +$43 +26%
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar? Jun 24 $19 $0 -2%
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Canada? Jun 24 $19 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group D Jun 24 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $53 −$37 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$12 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 +2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 24? Jun 24 $19 −$3 -16%
Valorant: Riddle vs AGELITE - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $25 +$3 +13%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super Dr Jun 24 $19 +$2 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24? Jun 24 $19 −$3 -18%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Q Jun 24 $25 +$3 +11%
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $20 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Gamers Club Li Jun 24 $18 +$2 +13%
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $46 +$4 +8%
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $46 −$1 -1%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5 Jun 24 $19 −$3 -15%
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER Jun 24 $69 −$8 -12%
Spread: Croatia (-3.5) Jun 24 $19 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Cl Jun 24 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $19 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $19 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 24m
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 0 Haiti? BUY No 88¢ $19 25m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 92¢ $19 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $18 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.69 · official $38.69 (match) · 164 history records