Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:56:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
EE 0xeecc…87e2 crypto 97 markets active 1h ago coverage 54d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$121 (+2%) realized +$120 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate91%87W / 9L
Drawdown23%max
Avg bet$81per market
Trades / day1.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$162now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$19
14 days+$38
30 days+$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -4.6% -13.7% 94% 0% -8.4%
≤30d 79 +0.4% -9.2% 96% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 96 -1.9% -11.3% 91% 1% -8.2%
all 96 -1.9% -11.3% 91% 1% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 1% -8.2%
10% -19.7% 1% -17.0%
15% -27.5% 1% -25.0%
20% -34.6% 1% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×3.59 per $1 lost it wins $3.59
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$162
Realized+$120
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses87 / 9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)96 / 97
History coverage54d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 96 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? No 98¢ 99¢ $161 $162 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 7 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $101 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $56 +$3 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $101 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $55 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $156 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $54 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $151 +$4 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $98 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $96 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $92 +$3 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $91 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $89 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $87 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $101 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $87 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $83 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 6? Jun 06 $82 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $78 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $78 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $73 +$2 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $66 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $101 +$4 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $1 $0 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $64 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 30? May 31 $101 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28? May 29 $60 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28? May 29 $101 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28? May 28 $101 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27? May 28 $101 −$7 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27? May 27 $101 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $60 58m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? BUY No 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? BUY No 94¢ $56 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 17? BUY No 98¢ $101 11h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $55 25h
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $101 25h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $55 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $101 36h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $54 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $101 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $50 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 15? BUY No 97¢ $101 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $98 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $101 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $98 5d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $101 5d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $96 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $101 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 97¢ $92 7d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $101 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $91 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $101 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $89 8d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? BUY No 98¢ $101 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9? BUY No 99¢ $87 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? BUY No 99¢ $101 8d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $87 9d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $101 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 8? BUY No 98¢ $101 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $161.99 · official $161.99 (match) · 189 history records