Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:15:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeebf…90f3 crypto 116 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$218 (-14%) realized −$218 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate41%47W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day4.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$126
14 days−$126
30 days−$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$202
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -18.7% -26.4% 43% 43% -18.7%
≤30d 116 -20.3% -27.9% 41% 41% -21.1%
≤90d 116 -20.3% -27.9% 41% 41% -21.1%
all 116 -20.3% -27.9% 41% 41% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.9% 41% -21.1%
10% -34.8% 41% -28.6%
15% -41.1% 41% -35.5%
20% -46.9% 41% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -24% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$13 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$218
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses47 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)116 / 116
History coverage29d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 116 Trades
no open positions (69 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$21 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$18 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $18 +$17 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$20 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$13 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$19 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$12 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$22 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$27 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$14 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $18 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $17 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 163 history records