Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xeebe…5d9b
sports · 542 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$4,354 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,241 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$4,241
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses255 / 284
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$770
Open positions3
Markets (closed)539 / 542
History coverage426d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 539 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$115
7 days+$49
14 days+$198
30 days−$480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 75¢ 72¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 66¢ 73¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 40¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? No 29¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 41¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner FlyQuest 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 61¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 78¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 47¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5) Fnatic 32¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 35¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 37¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? No 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 18¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 38¢ 0¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 46¢ 0¢ $276 $0 −$276 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 39¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $39 +$8 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 −$47 -98%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $21 −$9 -44%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $20 +$12 +58%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $51 −$3 -6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $90 −$89 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$44 -85%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $71 +$63 +89%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$16 +46%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $71 +$48 +68%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $41 −$40 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$45 +91%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $76 −$25 -33%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 −$11 -55%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $33 +$17 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $24 −$24 -98%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $35 −$35 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$22 +109%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $20 +$21 +101%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$33 +109%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $41 +$43 +105%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $28 +$35 +124%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $30 +$35 +114%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $96 +$48 +50%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $62 +$34 +54%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $32 +$30 +93%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $21 +$11 +50%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $48 −$47 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $93 +$8 +8%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $99 −$30 -30%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $112 −$110 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $51 +$39 +76%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $51 +$42 +82%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $99 −$97 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $129 −$128 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $106 −$30 -28%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $57 −$56 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $66 −$65 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $62 −$61 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $45 +$442 +990%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $30 −$7 -24%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $25 +$31 +123%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $29 +$15 +52%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $37 −$7 -20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $28 +$9 +32%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $17 +$11 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$3,035
world 7% −$570
other 4% −$436
politics 1% −$153
crypto 0% −$55
economics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $27 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $20 42m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $47 47m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $39 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 71¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 80¢ $58 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 16¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 1¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 16¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $81 2h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $11 2h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 33¢ $32 2h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $48 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $90 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 9¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 35¢ $83 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $134 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $134 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $51 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 58¢ $48 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $71 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $119 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 58¢ $71 5h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $51 6h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY FURIA 56¢ $41 7h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 68¢ $35 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $95 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $50 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 30¢ $26 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +14.6% +3.7% 50% 46% -7.5%
≤30d 180 +8.7% -1.7% 53% 51% -12.7%
≤90d 500 -3.2% -12.4% 48% 44% -16.0%
all 539 -2.1% -11.4% 47% 43% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 43% -15.7%
10% -19.9% 40% -23.8%
15% -27.6% 34% -31.1%
20% -34.7% 25% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.03 · official $48.03 (match) · 1626 history records