Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:17:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xeebb…0b96
sports · 257 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12,288 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,276 · open −$1,012
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$863
Realized−$11,276
Unrealized−$1,012
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses99 / 153
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$1,508
Open positions5
Markets (closed)252 / 257
History coverage45d
Avg bet$368
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$543
7 days+$3,263
14 days−$11,358
30 days−$9,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 34¢ $1,063 $509 −$554 (-52%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner Los Angeles Thieves 65¢ 60¢ $293 $272 −$20 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 41¢ 41¢ $82 $82 +$0 (+0%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 51¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) FUT Esports 45¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 31¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs NAVI Junior 24¢ $201 $0 −$201 (-100%)
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Dplus 58¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Eternal Fire 50¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Solary 25¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 2 Winner L1ga Team 45¢ $831 $0 −$831 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage Guara Esports 28¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 42¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winner RAYN Clocks 49¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner ex-RUBY 41¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs Ursa 28¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOS 35¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A Ground Zero 22¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 3 Winner Lynn Vision 59¢ $2,132 $0 −$2,132 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D Hashiras 43¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $427 $0 −$427 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B THUNDER dOWNUNDER 35¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 Natus Vincere 10¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Zero Tenacity 46¢ $530 $0 −$530 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South Jun 12 $234 −$230 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $63 −$61 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $337 −$330 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $372 −$363 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $585 +$459 +79%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $767 −$751 -98%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $138 −$135 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $206 −$203 -99%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $304 −$300 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $889 +$444 +50%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $235 +$297 +126%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $45 +$23 +50%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $459 +$758 +165%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $745 +$443 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $246 −$241 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $311 −$28 -9%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $406 −$400 -99%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $1,255 +$183 +15%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $83 −$81 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1,675 −$287 -17%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) Jun 10 $10 +$10 +92%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $61 +$79 +129%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $2,765 +$3,958 +143%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $1,619 +$2,765 +171%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $1 $0 +34%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $428 −$419 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,940 −$1,904 -98%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $102 +$298 +291%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $53 +$155 +291%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $53 −$52 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,043 +$1,404 +135%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $641 +$695 +108%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $329 −$322 -98%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $107 −$104 -98%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,436 −$1,417 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $1,138 −$1,123 -99%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) Jun 09 $247 −$243 -98%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $611 −$600 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $62 −$61 -98%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $327 −$320 -98%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $112 +$237 +212%
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $488 −$52 -11%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Top Esports Challenger (BO1) - Asia Jun 08 $849 +$406 +48%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $303 −$300 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 08 $89 −$87 -98%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 08 $152 −$150 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $85 +$147 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$12,017
other 2% −$271
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 41¢ $83 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $22 1h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $102 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 65¢ $296 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $63 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $1,009 11h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Gior Dota Team 40¢ $204 11h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Gior Dota Team 40¢ $31 11h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 34¢ $255 15h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 20¢ $12 15h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 20¢ $102 15h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 21¢ $133 16h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 22¢ $20 16h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 22¢ $1 16h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 22¢ $102 16h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 15¢ $82 16h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 94¢ $1 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 90¢ $1 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 25¢ $184 18h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 26¢ $174 18h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 28¢ $1 18h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 29¢ $204 18h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 29¢ $204 18h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 12¢ $62 18h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $17 18h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $142 18h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 44¢ $1 19h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 43¢ $35 19h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 44¢ $102 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +11.1% +0.5% 44% 44% -2.7%
≤30d 188 -6.3% -15.2% 39% 38% -20.8%
≤90d 252 -5.6% -14.6% 39% 38% -20.6%
all 252 -5.6% -14.6% 39% 38% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 38% -20.6%
10% -22.7% 37% -28.2%
15% -30.2% 35% -35.1%
20% -37.1% 31% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $863.48 · official $863.48 (match) · 839 history records