Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:27:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeeb8…258b sports 7 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-2%) realized −$1 · open −$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day8.0pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit71%portable
Net worth$146now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 59% −$2
other 41% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -4.9% -14.0% 0% 0% -14.0%
≤30d 1 -4.9% -14.0% 0% 0% -14.0%
≤90d 1 -4.9% -14.0% 0% 0% -14.0%
all 1 -4.9% -14.0% 0% 0% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 0% -14.0%
10% -22.2% 0% -22.2%
15% -29.7% 0% -29.7%
20% -36.6% 0% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$146
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $67 $64 −$3 (-4%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $33 $32 −$1 (-3%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 48¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $20 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY 27¢ $25 31m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY 51¢ $51 33m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 49¢ $19 38m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $20 39m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $34 44m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 13¢ $69 44m
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $20 1h
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $145.89 · official $219.98 · 8 history records