Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T22:48:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeeb1…4f4b crypto 80 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$31 (-16%) realized −$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate51%41W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day72.9pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 52% −$10
sports 39% −$6
other 7% −$8
tech 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -15.8% -23.8% 51% 30% -21.5%
≤30d 80 -15.8% -23.8% 51% 30% -21.5%
≤90d 80 -15.8% -23.8% 51% 30% -21.5%
all 80 -15.8% -23.8% 51% 30% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 30% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 22% -29.0%
15% -37.7% 15% -35.9%
20% -43.8% 9% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -24% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses41 / 39
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)80 / 80
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day72.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 80 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 +$5 +441%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +105%
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -86%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 14 $1 +$2 +200%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 -30%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -51%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 -30%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 -23%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -81%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? SELL Yes 89¢ $6 56m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 57m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 76¢ $4 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 1h
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? SELL Yes 99¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Team Falcons 8¢ $0 2h
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? BUY Yes 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $2 4h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 5h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 46¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 204 history records