Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xeead…178d
weather · 88 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$139 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$135 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$973
Realized+$135
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses41 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)83 / 88
History coverage544d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 5 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$263
7 days+$513
14 days+$450
30 days+$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $298 $313 +$15 (+5%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 84¢ 81¢ $200 $194 −$6 (-3%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 70¢ 68¢ $200 $193 −$7 (-4%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $171 $172 +$2 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 24? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1? Yes 93¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26? Yes 88¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 +$196 +96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $401 +$18 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $600 +$7 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$42 +42%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 11 $201 +$22 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9? Jun 10 $401 +$23 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1,527 +$145 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $201 +$13 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? Jun 08 $201 +$12 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7? Jun 07 $202 +$45 +22%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2? Jun 03 $201 +$25 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1? Jun 01 $201 +$15 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1? Jun 01 $178 +$25 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1? Jun 01 $201 −$200 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31? Jun 01 $202 +$37 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31? May 31 $201 +$29 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31? May 31 $200 +$5 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26? May 27 $481 +$24 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26? May 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26? May 26 $200 +$8 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26? May 26 $201 −$200 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25? May 26 $202 +$61 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25? May 25 $122 +$16 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24? May 24 $403 +$68 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 24? May 24 $281 −$280 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24? May 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23? May 24 $602 −$97 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23? May 23 $346 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23? May 23 $91 +$8 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 23? May 23 $201 +$16 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22? May 23 $242 +$54 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22? May 22 $401 −$12 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22? May 22 $102 −$94 -92%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21? May 22 $151 +$13 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21? May 21 $101 +$32 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21? May 21 $202 +$38 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20? May 20 $14 +$3 +18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20? May 20 $400 +$6 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20? May 20 $202 +$34 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20? May 20 $200 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19? May 19 $200 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17? May 17 $100 +$7 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7? May 06 $5 $0 -1%
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins Mar 19 $7 $0 -2%
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels Mar 19 $25 −$1 -3%
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks Mar 19 $63 −$3 -4%
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks Mar 19 $21 −$6 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28? Mar 18 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9? Jan 10 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 59% −$70
sports 31% −$28
other 7% +$233
crypto 4% +$3
politics 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $98 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $201 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $72 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $101 8h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $101 8h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 84¢ $201 8h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 70¢ $202 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 94¢ $399 16h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $419 24h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $200 25h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 96¢ $200 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $203 26h
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $600 44h
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $101 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? BUY Yes 90¢ $201 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9? BUY Yes 95¢ $200 4d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9? BUY Yes 94¢ $201 4d
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? BUY Yes 95¢ $1,022 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? BUY Yes 88¢ $101 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? BUY Yes 88¢ $201 5d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? SELL Yes 100¢ $214 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? BUY Yes 77¢ $202 5d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? SELL Yes 100¢ $213 5d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? BUY Yes 94¢ $201 5d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? BUY Yes 93¢ $201 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7? BUY Yes 81¢ $202 6d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2? BUY Yes 89¢ $201 11d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1? SELL Yes 100¢ $203 12d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1? BUY Yes 93¢ $201 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +9.5% -0.9% 91% 36% +2.0%
≤30d 43 -2.8% -12.1% 81% 37% -8.2%
≤90d 49 -3.2% -12.4% 73% 33% -8.3%
all 83 -3.7% -12.9% 49% 19% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 19% -8.8%
10% -21.2% 6% -17.5%
15% -28.8% 2% -25.5%
20% -35.8% 1% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $972.79 · official $973.28 (match) · 244 history records