Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:18:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EE 0xee9a…a599 crypto 276 markets active 6d ago coverage 61d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$390 (-7%) realized −$390 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate47%129W / 147L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day17.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$89
14 days−$85
30 days−$427
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$543
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -10.9% -19.4% 64% 32% -15.7%
≤30d 248 -17.1% -25.0% 46% 35% -18.6%
≤90d 276 -15.3% -23.4% 47% 35% -18.6%
all 276 -15.3% -23.4% 47% 35% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.4% 35% -18.6%
10% -30.7% 28% -26.4%
15% -37.4% 24% -33.5%
20% -43.6% 19% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$13 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$390
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses129 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)276 / 276
History coverage61d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 276 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$16 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$15 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$4 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$15 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$14 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $0 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $17 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1417 history records