Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:49:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee97…ecf2
crypto · 20 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$32 -41%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$8
Realized−$29
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses6 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)16 / 20
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 3 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 18¢ $9 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-47%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 19¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 35¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 22¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 -25%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$28
sports 20% −$1
other 14% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up $5 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 35¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes $0 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -30.4% -37.0% 38% 38% -54.6%
≤30d 16 -30.4% -37.0% 38% 38% -54.6%
≤90d 16 -30.4% -37.0% 38% 38% -54.6%
all 16 -30.4% -37.0% 38% 38% -54.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.0% 38% -54.6%
10% -43.1% 31% -59.0%
15% -48.6% 25% -62.9%
20% -53.6% 19% -66.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.41 · official $9.41 · 37 history records