trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Down | 19¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 8¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Utah | 68¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | Up | 19¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $25 | +$7 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | +$17 | +105% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $103 | +$82 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $51 | +$5 | +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Jun 12 | $103 | +$59 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Jun 12 | $178 | −$178 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Jun 12 | $31 | +$16 | +51% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $27 | −$21 | -80% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $303 | +$39 | +13% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $90 | +$142 | +158% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $61 | +$26 | +44% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Apr 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Apr 20 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 20 | $7 | +$10 | +144% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Apr 19 | $7 | −$7 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | Apr 19 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | Apr 19 | $4 | −$4 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Apr 19 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 77% | 69% | +5.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 77% | 69% | +5.7% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 60% | 55% | +4.6% |
| all | 20 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 60% | 55% | +4.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 55% | +4.6% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 45% | -5.4% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 40% | -14.6% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 35% | -22.9% |