Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee91…fa10
crypto · 55 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses15 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)54 / 55
History coverage36d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Pakistan $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Chennai Super Kings 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders Kolkata Knight Riders 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Athletics 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $1 $0 -10%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -95%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 18 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 18 $1 +$3 +313%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 18 $13 −$1 -8%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 16 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET May 16 $1 +$3 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET May 16 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 16 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $1 +$2 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +14%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET May 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? May 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? May 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 13 $1 +$3 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 11 $1 +$2 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET May 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% −$1
crypto 44% −$15
politics 2% −$1
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 5d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 38¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5d
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 13d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 24¢ $2 19d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 27¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 22d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings BUY Lucknow Super Giants 35¢ $2 22d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 54¢ $5 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 26d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Chennai Super Kings 38¢ $1 27d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Chennai Super Kings 34¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 27d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Delhi Capitals 88¢ $3 28d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Rajasthan Royals 27¢ $3 28d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Delhi Capitals 93¢ $5 28d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 41¢ $5 28d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru SELL Punjab Kings $0 28d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 94¢ $8 28d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru BUY Punjab Kings 39¢ $1 28d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 47¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 28d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 32¢ $1 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-35.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 37 -34.7% -41.0% 24% 22% -27.7%
≤90d 54 -28.2% -35.1% 28% 26% -26.1%
all 54 -28.2% -35.1% 28% 26% -26.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.1% 26% -26.1%
10% -41.3% 24% -33.2%
15% -46.9% 22% -39.7%
20% -52.1% 22% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 87 history records