Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T19:25:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee8f…819d crypto 1091 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (108 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$344 (-2%) realized −$348 · open +$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate29%299W / 717L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day107.7pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$8now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 30d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$764
other 1% −$92
sports 1% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (108 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -51.6% -56.2% 16% 16% -80.7%
≤30d 1016 -6.3% -15.2% 29% 29% -26.0%
≤90d 1016 -6.3% -15.2% 29% 29% -26.0%
all 1016 -6.3% -15.2% 29% 29% -26.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover107.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 29% -26.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 28% -33.1%
15% -30.7% 27% -39.5%
20% -37.5% 25% -45.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$26 vs −$15 · ×1.68 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$8
Realized−$348
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses299 / 717
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1016 / 1091
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day107.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1016 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 17¢ 30¢ $5 $8 +$4 (+79%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 499 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET Jun 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET Jun 20 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET Jun 20 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET Jun 20 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET Jun 20 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET Jun 20 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4PM ET Jun 20 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET Jun 20 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET Jun 20 $11 +$30 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET Jun 20 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET Jun 20 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET Jun 20 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET Jun 20 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET Jun 20 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET Jun 20 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET Jun 20 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3PM ET Jun 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET Jun 20 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20? BUY Down 16¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20? SELL Down 16¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20? BUY Down 6¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20? BUY Down 6¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20? BUY Down 6¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20? BUY Down 6¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.13 · official $16.13 · 3500 history records