Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:54:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee8a…d6ad
world · 47 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$24 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses13 / 33
Open positions1
Markets (closed)46 / 47
History coverage264d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 1 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$3
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 53¢ 57¢ $47 $51 +$4 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $45 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $47 $0 +0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $47 $0 +0%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Jun 10 $4 $0 +7%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $46 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 10 $88 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Jun 09 $43 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 09 $85 −$3 -4%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 08 $9 $0 +5%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $2 $0 -4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 07 $92 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 06 $43 −$1 -1%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 05 $47 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 04 $9 −$1 -9%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Feb 01 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? Nov 30 $5 $0 +0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Nov 05 $26 $0 +2%
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? Oct 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Oct 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 27 $10 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? Oct 26 $5 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? Oct 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? Oct 24 $5 $0 +1%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 23 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Oct 19 $28 $0 +1%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Oct 01 $25 $0 +1%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? Oct 01 $25 $0 +0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 30 $8 $0 +0%
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? Sep 30 $26 $0 -1%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? Sep 30 $8 $0 +0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 30 $7 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Sep 29 $2 $0 -4%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Sep 29 $8 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? Sep 29 $8 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Sep 26 $8 $0 +0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 26 $8 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? Sep 25 $15 $0 +0%
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? Sep 25 $12 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Sep 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 23 $24 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Sep 23 $2 $0 -3%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? Sep 23 $3 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 23 $28 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 65% $0
other 16% $0
politics 11% $0
sports 3% $0
economics 2% −$25
crypto 1% $0
culture 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 53¢ $47 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $9 7h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $9 11h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 15h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 15h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 15h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 17h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 17h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 81¢ $32 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 81¢ $15 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 81¢ $7 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 81¢ $40 22h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 35¢ $19 27h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 35¢ $22 27h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 35¢ $6 27h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 35¢ $47 30h
Iran Nuke before 2027? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 2d
Iran Nuke before 2027? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 2d
Iran Nuke before 2027? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $46 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $46 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $46 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $46 3d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL No 71¢ $43 4d
Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY No 71¢ $43 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 73¢ $47 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY No 73¢ $47 4d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL Yes 21¢ $7 4d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL Yes 21¢ $2 4d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 20¢ $7 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +0.3% -9.3% 25% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 15 -0.4% -9.9% 27% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 15 -0.4% -9.9% 27% 0% -10.1%
all 46 -2.4% -11.7% 28% 0% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 0% -12.1%
10% -20.2% 0% -20.5%
15% -27.9% 0% -28.2%
20% -34.9% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.17 · official $51.17 (match) · 167 history records