Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:36:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee80…f34e
sports · 1089 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$16,082 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,103 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$4,878
Realized+$13,103
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses772 / 307
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Est. fees paid−$2,740
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1079 / 1089
History coverage42d
Avg bet$293
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 10 History 1079 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29,265
7 days−$12,210
14 days+$6,427
30 days+$11,927
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 60¢ 60¢ $600 $605 +$5 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 45¢ 57¢ $450 $575 +$125 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 54¢ 81¢ $376 $570 +$194 (+52%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 55¢ 55¢ $561 $556 −$5 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner G2 55¢ 54¢ $550 $535 −$15 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 48¢ 52¢ $490 $525 +$36 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 48¢ 46¢ $535 $511 −$24 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner G2 62¢ 62¢ $490 $486 −$4 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 63¢ 62¢ $388 $377 −$11 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 60¢ 18¢ $450 $139 −$311 (-69%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 35¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 69¢ $697 $0 −$697 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 47¢ $760 $0 −$760 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 32¢ $294 $0 −$294 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 74¢ $747 $0 −$747 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 77¢ $778 $0 −$778 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 33¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 63¢ $384 $0 −$384 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 39¢ $402 $0 −$402 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $182 −$178 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,200 −$1,200 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3,078 +$1,227 +40%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $671 +$142 +21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $553 +$457 +83%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $772 −$760 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $409 −$402 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $644 +$165 +26%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $680 +$319 +47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $690 +$309 +45%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $693 +$316 +46%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $783 −$778 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $558 +$461 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $677 +$332 +49%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $751 −$747 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $389 −$384 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,001 +$298 +30%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $654 +$351 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $213 +$297 +140%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $330 −$330 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $300 −$294 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,738 +$499 +29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,877 +$491 +26%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,255 +$305 +24%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $703 −$697 -99%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-20? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-05-11? Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$16,751
other 8% −$1,972
crypto 6% −$1,948
weather 2% +$52
world 0% +$209
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $295 26m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $85 36m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $72 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $182 2h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 55¢ $425 4h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 55¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 55¢ $25 5h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 55¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 55¢ $93 5h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 55¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $552 6h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $48 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 63¢ $2 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 63¢ $315 7h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $487 8h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $85 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $204 10h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $450 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $15 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $146 11h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 46¢ $238 11h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $569 11h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $300 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 48¢ $497 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 100¢ $4,306 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $814 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 80¢ $813 15h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $2,266 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 79¢ $397 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 255 -33.7% -40.0% 43% 36% -17.6%
≤30d 867 -0.2% -9.7% 70% 48% -5.8%
≤90d 1079 +1.6% -8.0% 72% 48% -5.7%
all 1079 +1.6% -8.0% 72% 48% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 48% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 34% -14.8%
15% -24.9% 26% -23.0%
20% -32.2% 18% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,878.16 · official $4,878.23 (match) · 3500 history records