Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T14:20:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EE 0xee7f…e8aa crypto 1451 markets active 2h ago coverage 59d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,105 (-3%) realized −$1,105 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate89%1298W / 153L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day41.6pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days+$19
14 days+$60
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$345
other 12% −$313
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +0.2% -9.3% 94% 4% -9.0%
≤30d 606 -0.5% -9.9% 93% 9% -9.5%
≤90d 1451 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 8% -11.3%
all 1451 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 8% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 8% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 1% -19.8%
15% -26.2% 1% -27.5%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$14 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1298 / 153
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1451 / 1451
History coverage59d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1451 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 25 $48 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $100 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 25 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $194 +$19 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 25 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 24 $101 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 24 $49 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $11 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $100 −$100 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $35 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $201 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $203 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $199 +$14 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $42 +$3 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $101 +$7 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $99 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$5 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $48 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $32 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $37 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $16 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $31 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $15 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $32 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $213 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $194 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $109 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $54 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $104 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $63 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $107 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $100 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records