Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T20:33:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EE 0xee7b…0045 crypto 1391 markets active 0h ago coverage 124d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$23 (-1%) realized −$23 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate89%1244W / 147L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day12.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$31
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -0.6% -10.1% 88% 40% -9.3%
≤30d 42 -0.6% -10.1% 88% 40% -9.3%
≤90d 311 -3.5% -12.7% 83% 68% -13.0%
all 1391 -0.7% -10.1% 89% 18% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 18% -10.2%
10% -18.7% 1% -18.8%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

124d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1244 / 147
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1391 / 1391
History coverage124d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1391 Trades
no open positions (52 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Ecuador? Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Apr 22 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Apr 21 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3113 history records