trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| United States to win the second half? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +109% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $3 | +$3 | +105% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -89% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 62% | 62% | +4.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 62% | 62% | +4.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 62% | 62% | +4.4% |
| all | 8 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 62% | 62% | +4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.4% | 62% | +4.4% |
| 10% | -9.3% | 62% | -5.6% |
| 15% | -18.0% | 38% | -14.7% |
| 20% | -26.1% | 38% | -23.1% |