Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T10:18:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee6e…8dac crypto 287 markets active 1h ago coverage 211d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,018 (-16%) realized −$2,018 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -30% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate39%114W / 177L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day4.3pace
Fees−$10est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$3
14 days+$18
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 67% −$1,511
crypto 31% −$567
other 2% −$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +4.9% -5.1% 53% 51% -9.8%
≤30d 65 +0.9% -8.7% 48% 46% -8.4%
≤90d 260 -29.6% -36.3% 39% 34% -23.3%
all 291 -30.4% -37.0% 39% 33% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.0% 33% -31.3%
10% -43.0% 27% -37.8%
15% -48.5% 20% -43.8%
20% -53.6% 12% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -30% · $-wt -24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -48% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$18 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

211d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,018
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses114 / 177
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)291 / 287
History coverage211d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 291 Trades
no open positions (145 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $40 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 28 $39 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $14 +$36 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$30 +152%
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Panama vs. England: O/U 7. Jun 27 $20 +$13 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 27 $18 +$32 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $36 +$14 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$9 +28%
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-2 Jun 27 $10 +$12 +119%
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5 AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $30 +$13 +44%
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France? Jun 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 26 $33 −$25 -75%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $38 −$38 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $95 +$5 +5%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $21 +$9 +41%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $51 −$51 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$26 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $0 +$1 +809%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 24 $121 +$25 +21%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 23 $27 +$23 +83%
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $25 +$5 +20%
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5 Jun 23 $23 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 23 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 23 $39 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $86 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 19 $18 +$12 +70%
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will Czechia win on 202 Jun 18 $15 −$12 -80%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $7 $0 -4%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $10 +$7 +68%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $12 +$19 +156%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $18 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $36 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $21 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $31 27h
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Panama vs. England: O/U 7. BUY 59¢ $20 27h
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY 28¢ $15 27h
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-2 BUY 45¢ $10 40h
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5 AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY 69¢ $30 40h
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $8 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $25 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 40h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 40h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 40h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 40h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 40h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1017 history records