Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee67…67a6
other · 256 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,028 +60%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$148 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,714
Realized+$148
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses132 / 185
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions297
Markets (closed)317 / 256
History coverage2d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1515.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 297 History 317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$149
7 days+$148
14 days+$148
30 days+$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alec Pierce be traded? Yes 10¢ $13 $158 +$145 (+1144%)
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No $43 $64 +$20 (+47%)
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes $10 $58 +$48 (+495%)
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting? Yes $33 $37 +$4 (+13%)
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 13¢ $25 $36 +$11 (+44%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes $24 $35 +$11 (+44%)
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes $24 $31 +$7 (+32%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Yes $14 $31 +$16 (+112%)
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No $29 $30 +$1 (+5%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes $13 $29 +$17 (+130%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day? Yes $24 $29 +$5 (+20%)
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes $28 $27 −$1 (-2%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? Yes $14 $27 +$13 (+89%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? Yes $18 $26 +$8 (+46%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes $41 $26 −$15 (-36%)
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes $29 $26 −$3 (-11%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes $62 $25 −$37 (-60%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Yes $18 $24 +$6 (+30%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? Yes $12 $23 +$11 (+87%)
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes $14 $22 +$7 (+50%)
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes $11 $21 +$11 (+100%)
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes $24 $21 −$3 (-13%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30? No $19 $20 +$2 (+9%)
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes $17 $20 +$3 (+18%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? Yes $15 $19 +$5 (+33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +4665%
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-Ma Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1309%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 5? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +13204%
Delray Beach Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 −$2 -118%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $12 +$30 +252%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$18 -3777%
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$5 -121%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$12 -116%
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Jun 12 $18 −$29 -162%
Cherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -101%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $10 +$25 +244%
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $0 $0 -41054%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -43350%
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for Jun 12 $16 −$9 -54%
Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1411%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatki Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17? Jun 12 $18 −$16 -91%
Will Passion UA win IEM Rio 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Markéta Vondroušová win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $23 +$35 +157%
Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17? Jun 12 $5 −$7 -141%
Dubrovnik: Lola Radivojevic vs Alina Charaeva Jun 12 $9 −$7 -74%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? Jun 12 $14 +$14 +100%
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? Jun 12 $14 +$20 +144%
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand P Jun 12 $29 −$30 -104%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rocha Jun 12 $6 −$11 -200%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -5559%
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $37 −$32 -85%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Claude 4.7 released by May 31? Jun 12 $49 −$18 -36%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -105%
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? Jun 12 $16 +$112 +683%
Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$4 -5214%
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils? Jun 12 $13 $0 -2%
BNP Paribas Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend Jun 12 $17 −$34 -200%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? Jun 12 $0 +$9 +5930%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $0 +$11 +2803%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -482%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $15 −$7 -45%
Claude 4.8 released by June 30? Jun 12 $26 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 34% +$29
tech 30% −$23
politics 12% +$163
world 11% +$191
crypto 8% +$19
sports 4% +$41
economics 1% −$1
culture 0% +$2
finance 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? BUY No $0 1m
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes $0 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes $1 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes $1 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes $3 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes $1 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes $5 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes $9 3m
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? BUY No $4 5m
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? SELL Yes $0 7m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? SELL Yes $7 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY Yes $0 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY Yes $2 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY Yes $1 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on SELL Yes 10¢ $1 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY Yes $0 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY Yes $5 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY Yes $3 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY Yes $5 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on SELL Yes $4 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY Yes $14 7m
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes $0 7m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? SELL Yes $0 8m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on SELL Yes $0 8m
Will Uzbekistan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $0 8m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? BUY Yes $14 8m
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY No $14 9m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? SELL No $2 9m
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? BUY Yes $0 10m
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? BUY Yes $0 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+121.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 317 +144.9% +121.6% 42% 38% -8.7%
≤30d 317 +144.9% +121.6% 42% 38% -8.7%
≤90d 317 +144.9% +121.6% 42% 38% -8.7%
all 317 +144.9% +121.6% 42% 38% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1515.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +121.6% 38% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here +100.4% 37% -17.5%
15% +81.0% 34% -25.4%
20% +63.3% 31% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,714.40 · official $1,714.47 (match) · 3500 history records