Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:29:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee62…ce1f crypto 10 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-8%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%6W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day18.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -8.6% -17.3% 60% 60% -17.9%
≤30d 10 -8.6% -17.3% 60% 60% -17.9%
≤90d 10 -8.6% -17.3% 60% 60% -17.9%
all 10 -8.6% -17.3% 60% 60% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 60% -17.9%
10% -25.2% 50% -25.8%
15% -32.4% 50% -33.0%
20% -39.1% 30% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 36% · top 2 55% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records