Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee5f…5468
other · 208 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$29 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$94
Realized+$36
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses81 / 122
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions4
Markets (closed)203 / 208
History coverage715d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 4 History 203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days+$79
14 days+$0
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-11%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $30 $27 −$4 (-12%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$58 +114%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $34 +$46 +138%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $301 −$140 -46%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $330 +$30 +9%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 Jun 12 $10 −$6 -55%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $124 +$10 +8%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $9 −$1 -6%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $50 +$26 +52%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $120 +$15 +12%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $27 +$28 +105%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $30 +$15 +50%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $21 +$12 +57%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $46 +$10 +22%
GTA VI released before November 2026? Jun 06 $2 $0 -24%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $141 −$1 -0%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $13 +$7 +49%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $219 +$15 +7%
Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $25 +$15 +60%
Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $25 +$25 +100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3? Jun 03 $91 −$20 -21%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $281 +$3 +1%
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5 Jun 02 $5 −$3 -55%
Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 02 $76 −$2 -3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $83 $0 +0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $18 $0 -1%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $8 +$2 +31%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $17 −$2 -12%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $243 $0 -0%
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $193 +$57 +30%
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 May 31 $12 +$11 +96%
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 May 31 $88 +$6 +7%
United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score May 31 $33 +$15 +46%
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $38 −$18 -47%
Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw? May 31 $71 −$61 -85%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $59 −$31 -52%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $48 −$48 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $5 +$5 +117%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 30 $236 −$3 -1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $39 $0 +0%
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia May 28 $39 +$15 +37%
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar end in a draw? May 28 $1 −$1 -64%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28? May 28 $105 $0 +0%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28? May 28 $77 −$1 -1%
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, May 27 $19 +$2 +10%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $57 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% +$408
sports 26% −$121
finance 16% −$194
world 10% −$34
politics 2% +$47
crypto 1% −$44
tech 1% −$29
economics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $110 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 10h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $49 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 0¢ $0 10h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 61¢ $30 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 0¢ $0 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 0¢ $0 10h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $34 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 1¢ $1 11h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 100¢ $141 11h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 100¢ $45 11h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 SELL 13¢ $5 11h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 76¢ $1 16h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 76¢ $4 16h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 64¢ $117 17h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 53¢ $36 17h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 53¢ $26 17h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 53¢ $3 17h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 53¢ $53 17h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $102 18h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $19 18h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $0 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $0 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $2 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $2 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $0 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $2 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $0 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $2 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +18.7% +7.4% 67% 53% +12.9%
≤30d 79 +11.0% +0.5% 47% 35% -7.5%
≤90d 90 +10.6% +0.1% 44% 33% -7.4%
all 203 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 34% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 34% -7.2%
10% -20.1% 30% -16.1%
15% -27.8% 27% -24.2%
20% -34.9% 23% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.65 · official $93.65 (match) · 700 history records