trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -12.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 20% | 0% | -12.3% |
| all | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 18% | 5% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 5% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 20 | $917 | −$35 | -4% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Jun 17 | $303 | −$10 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 16 | $1,500 | −$37 | -2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 09 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24? | Mar 24 | $99 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 06 | $385 | −$4 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 06 | $386 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Mar 05 | $386 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $387 | $0 | -0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Mar 04 | $20 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 15 | $110 | −$1 | -1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 10 | $258 | −$1 | -0% |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 31 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 30? | Oct 31 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 30 | $1,350 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Oct 29 | $100 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Y | Oct 29 | $190 | −$16 | -8% |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30? | Oct 29 | $200 | −$11 | -6% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Oct 29 | $200 | −$5 | -3% |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | Oct 29 | $59 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Oct 29 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | Oct 29 | $150 | −$1 | -0% |