trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 89% | 33% | -18.4% |
| all | 25 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 88% | 24% | -17.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 24% | -17.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 12% | -25.5% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 8% | -32.7% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 8% | -39.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $76 | $76 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $54 | $54 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 02 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Jun 02 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In | May 24 | $511 | −$501 | -98% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Kor | May 19 | $438 | +$75 | +17% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 15 | $340 | +$98 | +29% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $283 | +$56 | +20% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $283 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Apr 08 | $280 | +$3 | +1% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Apr 02 | $261 | +$19 | +7% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Feb 28 | $2,491 | −$2,491 | -100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Feb 27 | $2,323 | +$175 | +8% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 23 | $1,115 | +$1,208 | +108% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Feb 12 | $1,113 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on February 6? | Feb 07 | $1,112 | +$1 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 03 | $200 | +$164 | +82% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Jan 31 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jan 31 | $500 | +$43 | +9% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jan 24 | $160 | +$24 | +15% |
| Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Jan 10 | $981 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Jan 02 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $78 | $0 | +0% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 02 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $236 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $420 | +$1 | +0% |