Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee4f…c0f0
sports · 192 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
−$2,993 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,018 · open +$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$125
Realized−$3,018
Unrealized+$25
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses75 / 114
Est. fees paid−$57
Open positions1
Markets (closed)189 / 192
History coverage154d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$136
7 days+$136
14 days+$136
30 days−$370
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 22¢ 28¢ $100 $125 +$25 (+25%)
Kings vs. Celtics Kings 20¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Tom Brady attend Super Bowl LX? No 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Kings vs. Pistons Kings 13¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Clippers Lakers 51¢ 0¢ $462 $0 −$462 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Curtis Blaydes 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Rico 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Devils (-1.5) Rangers 63¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? No 16¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3) Kukuys 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Nets Nets 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? No 46¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $102 +$136 +134%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $199 −$195 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $116 −$114 -98%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven May 23 $102 −$100 -98%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 22 $515 −$508 -98%
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry May 17 $354 +$207 +58%
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai May 17 $198 +$170 +86%
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car May 17 $145 +$211 +145%
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavy May 17 $109 +$37 +34%
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main C May 17 $141 −$139 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main C May 17 $76 −$75 -98%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $102 +$423 +413%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) May 10 $207 +$301 +145%
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C May 10 $84 +$60 +71%
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) May 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 18 $50 −$1 -1%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 18 $60 −$1 -1%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Apr 18 $59 +$21 +36%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Apr 18 $56 +$24 +44%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) Apr 15 $155 +$50 +32%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $150 +$82 +54%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $35 −$34 -98%
Heat vs. Hornets Apr 15 $185 +$110 +59%
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5 Apr 14 $50 −$49 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $76 +$125 +165%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $150 −$148 -98%
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 12 $114 −$113 -98%
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Ca Apr 12 $100 −$99 -99%
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Apr 12 $50 −$49 -98%
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 12 $27 −$27 -98%
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) Apr 12 $33 −$32 -98%
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? Apr 10 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? Apr 06 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Apr 06 $11 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Mar 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Penguins (-1.5) Mar 08 $60 +$28 +47%
Spread: Kings (-1.5) Mar 08 $80 +$36 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Mar 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Pistons vs. Magic Mar 07 $100 +$49 +49%
Spread: Devils (-1.5) Mar 07 $60 −$60 -100%
Spread: Bruins (-1.5) Mar 07 $80 −$80 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Nets Mar 01 $30 −$30 -100%
Lakers vs. Warriors Mar 01 $100 +$66 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Mar 01 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Feb 28 $18 −$8 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Feb 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Feb 28 $36 +$20 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Feb 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Feb 28 $18 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Feb 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$1,803
crypto 16% −$877
other 10% −$313
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $102 6m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $238 53m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 48¢ $355 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 13¢ $51 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $102 5h
Thunder vs. Spurs BUY Thunder 35¢ $199 16d
Thunder vs. Spurs BUY Thunder 43¢ $116 20d
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven BUY Rico 20¢ $102 21d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 50¢ $515 22d
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry SELL Perry 100¢ $561 27d
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry BUY Perry 66¢ $152 27d
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry BUY Perry 60¢ $202 27d
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai SELL Arnold Allen 100¢ $368 27d
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai BUY Arnold Allen 53¢ $198 27d
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car SELL Dooho Choi 100¢ $357 27d
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Dooho Choi 40¢ $145 27d
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavy SELL Modestas Bukauskas 100¢ $146 27d
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavy BUY Modestas Bukauskas 74¢ $109 28d
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main C BUY Malcolm Wellmaker 69¢ $141 28d
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main C BUY Timmy Cuamba 47¢ $76 28d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 99¢ $526 34d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Sean Strickland 19¢ $102 34d
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) SELL Joshua Van 100¢ $509 34d
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C SELL Alexander Volkov 99¢ $144 34d
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C BUY Alexander Volkov 57¢ $84 34d
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) BUY Joaquin Buckley 2¢ $1 34d
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) BUY Joshua Van 40¢ $207 34d
Rockets vs. Lakers SELL Rockets 65¢ $49 56d
Hawks vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 69¢ $59 56d
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SELL Nuggets 100¢ $80 56d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +133.8% +111.5% 100% 100% +111.5%
≤30d 11 -13.0% -21.3% 45% 45% -25.9%
≤90d 34 +2.3% -7.4% 47% 47% -5.0%
all 189 -13.8% -22.0% 40% 40% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 40% -23.0%
10% -29.4% 38% -30.3%
15% -36.3% 35% -37.1%
20% -42.5% 31% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $125.00 · official $525.00 · 421 history records